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Advice to WMO on COP29 Planetary Albedo Discussion (9/3/2024 2:50:36 PM Tom Goreau)

All of this (tipping points, aerosol masking, black carbon, etc.) was understood when UNFCC was signed in 1992, not to mention the potential of a methane bomb from melting Arctic peat!

But all was ignored by governments who refused to require GHG gas source and sink monitoring essential for sound climate management.

Those were in the draft treaty the UN presented to governments, but were removed.

The final treaty was designed by deliberate omission to be unable to meet its own goals, and to foist the problem off on future generations.

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


Deliberate Omission in COP: Advice to WMO on COP29 Planetary Albedo Discussion (9/4/2024 4:51:00 AM Tom Goreau )

All of this (tipping points, aerosol masking, black carbon, etc.) was understood when UNFCC was signed in 1992, not to mention the potential of a methane bomb from melting Arctic peat!

But all was ignored by governments who refused to require GHG gas source and sink monitoring essential for sound climate management.

Those were in the draft treaty the UN presented to governments, but were removed.

The final treaty was designed by deliberate omission to be unable to meet its own goals, and to foist the problem off on future generations.

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


Arctic and Greenland ice, on the rocks (9/5/2024 6:36:52 AM Tom Goreau)

A few years ago I posted a series of photographs I took of the Greenland Ice Cap from the air. You could clearly see that the top surface was covered with a layer of black soot, which absorbs heat, and concentrates on the surface as the ice melts under it.

The soot was darkest around vertical melt sinkholes on the surface of the Ice Cap, which go all the way to the underlying rock surface, creating under-ice rivers that lubricate glacial slipping and sliding.

At the southern edge of the Ice Cap you could see that the land had been very recently glaciated, but the glaciers were completely gone, with each vanished glaciers that had completely covered the land marked by their unmistakable dry valley cwms (or cirques, look it up).

I can post the photos again if anyone is interested.

The recent massive unreported and unexplained combustion event in the Russian Arctic between August 11-22 dumped large amounts of particulate matter and aerosols on the Arctic Ice Cap.

We will see its effects later this year and next, even if it was an invisible event.

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


Advice to WMO on COP29 Planetary Albedo Discussion (9/6/2024 2:00:00 PM Tom Goreau)

Yes, Jasechko et al. was my source, they say 80-90% of land water transport to the atmosphere is transpiration, not evaporation, and I think suggested it might be an underestimate for methodological reasons. So perhaps 90% is a good round number estimate, or slightly high.

At any rate water flow from land to air should properly be described as transpiration, not evaporation (as occurs from oceans and lakes), the mechanisms and controls are entirely different. The distinction is important, and should be clearly made, just as latent heat and sensible heat need to be distinguished.

In severe drought, such has taken place across Amazonia for the last two years, plants shut their stomata, shrivel, and stop pumping moisture and latent heat into the atmosphere, so the land warms up further.

I saw this myself in the 1984 Amazon drought (nothing compared to recent ones) at my clearcut sites where small plants withered brown and died in deforested areas, bare ground was baked into a hard crust, while 100 meters away in the undisturbed rain forest the air was cool, the ground was moist, and a green carpet of moisture-requiring clubmosses, Selaginella and Lycopodium, grew on the forest floor. At the same time Manaus, the center of a large urban deforested area, was in drought, backyard plants died, and the city was surrounded by baking pastures with starving cattle wandering around withered grass, every rib clearly visible in their lean flanks.

This feedback triggers further drying and heating, see just published Koppa et al., 2024, Dryland self-expansion enabled by land-atmosphere feedbacks, Science, 385:967-972.

The process of desertification is described in its essence in these attached figures from a great book by Robert Goodland in 1975 that was my first guide to Amazonian ecosystem changes.

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


Dyer: Global warming remains in uncharted territory (9/21/2024 7:11:00 AM Tom Goreau)

Two important points in this article:

Why is it “suddenly” so hot?
Political interference with IPCC

“Nobody knows for certain yet why the planet’s average surface temperature has jumped more than two-tenths of a degree Celsius in just one year.”

In my view there is nothing at all mysterious about the “sudden jump” in global temperature. Deep ocean turnover needs to decrease almost undetectably for more significantly more heat to remain in the surface ocean. Heat is now moving faster from equator to poles and deep mixing is slowing down with increased stratification, so surface heat is now mainly accumulating in the North Pacific east of Japan, the North Atlantic east of Newfoundland, and the Arctic Ocean.

2023 Record marine heat waves: coral reef bleaching HotSpot maps reveal global sea surface temperature extremes, coral mortality, and ocean circulation changes (Goreau & Hayes, 2024):

https://academic.oup.com/oocc/article/4/1/kgae005/7666987

Here is the latest sea surface temperature anomaly map:



The impacts of the 2023 temperature anomalies accelerating Caribbean coral extinction were discussed at the New York Academy of Sciences recently and will be posted in a few days:

https://www.nyas.org/shaping-science/events/the-art-of-reef-restoration/

2. “the executive summary—the only part most journalists will ever read—is a political document negotiated between the scientists and the governments that are paying for the whole IPCC enterprise”

Indeed! It’s time to stop blaming the scientific community, which knows better, for the political censorship of their work imposed by governments who are in denial of the facts, blaming others, and avoiding financial liability. The anti-science rhetoric over IPCC “conspiracy” is put out by defenders of fossil fuel interests looking out for their own financial portfolios, and “know-nothing” right-wing and religious fanatics mystified about how nature works, who blame science and technology not for what it can do, but for who controls what technology is developed (boys with toys interested only in swords, not ploughs).

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


Are climate activists and politicians just as blinkered as deniers? (9/22/2024 5:17:56 AM Tom Goreau)

Thanks, spot on! Destroying everybody else’s future is GREAT business!

An economist looks at renewable natural resources and advises you to destroy them as fast as you can, stick the money in the bank, and live off the interest.

They can mathematically prove that this maximizes global wealth, and therefore satisfaction……

Planet killing is profitable! At least for a while, just ask Elon Musk……..

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


Arctic and Greenland ice, on the rocks (9/25/2024 5:49:46 AM Tom Goreau)

Following my aerial photos that I recently sent some of you showing the brown surface layer on top of melting Greenland Ice, this new paper (abstract below) has just been published on the impacts.

They make the important distinction between the effects of Brown Carbon and better-known Black Carbon.

The Canadian and Siberian forest fires of the last couple of years have greatly dumped particulate and aerosols on top of the Arctic Ice, affecting its albedo, and accelerating melting.

The recent unexplained Novaya Zemlya event for 11 days this August put large amounts of combustion aerosols and particulates of all kinds on top of Arctic Ice, speeding its melting.

I will discuss this event on the Panel Discussion after the October 6 MEER Webinar on Saving Arctic Ice.

Dark brown carbon from wildfires: a potent snow radiative forcing agent?

Ganesh S. Chelluboyina,
Taveen S. Kapoor &
Rajan K. Chakrabarty

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science volume 7, Article number: 200 (2024)

Abstract

Deposition of wildfire smoke on snow contributes to its darkening and accelerated snowmelt. Recent field studies have identified dark brown carbon (d-BrC) to contribute 50–75% of shortwave absorption in wildfire smoke. d-BrC is a distinct class of water-insoluble, light-absorbing organic carbon that co-exists in abundance with black carbon (BC) in snow across the world. However, the importance of d-BrC as a snow warming agent relative to BC remains unexplored. We address this gap using aerosol-snow radiative transfer calculations on datasets from laboratory and field measurement. We show d-BrC increases the annual mean snow radiative forcing between 0.6 and 17.9?W m-2, corresponding to different wildfire smoke deposition scenarios. This is a 1.6 to 2.1-fold enhancement when compared with BC-only deposition on snow. This study suggests d-BrC is an important contributor to snowmelt in midlatitude glaciers, where ~40% of the world’s glacier surface area resides.

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


New Wake Smith AMOC tipping and Polar SAI podcast - highly recommended! (9/26/2024 6:11:20 AM Tom Goreau)

Marine life has adapted to use the nutrients available, and iron is only one of many.

In the soil science literature we use the term “remineralization” or “weathering” to refer to the release of essential biological elements from rock minerals. See Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

I’m working today on sampling a basalt remineralization experiment on an organic farm in northern Vermont for para-magnetism and trace element analysis.

It would make most sense to drop the misleading term OIF and call it “Marine remineralization” instead. This includes both the weathering of primary minerals carried by air or water into the ocean (including volcanic ash), weathering of hydrothermal minerals on the ocean floor (another major iron source), and iron that is recycled biologically in chelated forms, which is probably most of the story.

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


3775-year-old wood burial supports “wood vaulting” as a durable carbon removal method (9/27/2024 4:52:46 PM Tom Goreau)

Few soils have the anoxic peat required for such preservation.

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


A re-engineered salt water mist spraying system (10/6/2024 8:27:24 AM Tom Goreau)

Very interesting, good luck!

But trade winds blow AWAY from Chile, not towards it.

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


October seventh 2 pm ET: Florida climate week Virtual event: Upper limit, Climate triad and cooling cities (10/8/2024 10:23:14 AM Tom Goreau)

Good luck!

I’d love to show them the large South Florida sea shells in my study that grew the last time temperatures were 1-2 C warmer than today, sea level was about 25 feet higher, the beach was north of Lake Okeechobee, and all South Florida was the northernmost Bahamian sandbank.

But unfortunately I’ll then be in a meeting of a New England shore town that lost their beach this year to the last hurricane, and don’t know what to do, but are being peddled some ridiculously expensive options.

Grand Cayman lost the entire famous Seven Mile Beach, their major tourism asset, to Hurricane Helene:

https://www.caymancompass.com/2024/10/04/going-going-gone-erosion-reaching-crisis-point-on-seven-mile-beach/

We can certainly protect our shorelines and grow back our beaches and coastal ecosystems right now, even if lying politicians refuse to act against climate change.

To see how, see my recent talk in Male, Maldives:

https://www.globalcoral.org/maldives-coral-reefs-past-present-and-a-sustainable-blue-future-in-honour-of-maizan-hassan-maniku/

The Governors of Florida, Texas, and Louisiana have all declared that climate change is a “hoax” and banned any reference to climate change, sea level rise, or global warming from all state planning and assessment documents.

Since there is no climate change, this is clearly an act of god, to whom their mass compulsory prayers should be continued until the end of the hurricane season, along with shovels to put all the sand back where god intended. Their prayers will assure they will stay there forever as long as they don’t ever interrupt them for a second, unleashing satan’s diabolical flood or matters to the same effect.

“Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away”: Old Goreauism

Enlightenment could soon come to Florida!

Good luck!

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer


Emergency vs. Urgency (10/10/2024 6:34:44 AM Tom Goreau)

Tax destructive “bads” to pay for essential “goods”: that the basis of the original carbon tax proposal (attached):

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

goreau@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer

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